Granular-Asphalt
0x177361e9dde0a39bdf3c6579dcb0d4375cd7f2f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$4.72
Total PnL
$-295.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.72
$-5.28
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?
471 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?
455 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?
412 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-95.47
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?
221 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-77.25
- YES
Will Keir Starmer say "Labour" 8+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
100 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will Nigeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
100 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Egypt win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
91 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Algeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
73 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jan 30, 00:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$27.27Jan 29, 14:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 29, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?$238.14Jan 28, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-28?$2.50Jan 28, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?$2.50Jan 28, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-28?$2.50Jan 28, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?$1.00Jan 28, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qairat FK win on 2026-01-28?$1.00Jan 28, 19:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 28, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 27, 00:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 26, 00:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 25, 00:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 24, 00:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 23, 00:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 22, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?$263.16Jan 21, 19:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 21, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?$23.55Jan 20, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$239.59Jan 20, 09:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $48.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 00:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".