Well-Informed-Warden
0x17758fd87db709df0beebbde118c76fc2a60d781
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-186.66
Realised
$-0.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
6511 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
5770 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6PM ET
1025 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
419 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
200 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-89.73
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
164 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
58 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-36.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
52 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- NO
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
12 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$91.12Feb 16, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$91.12Feb 16, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$37.42Feb 16, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$30.00Feb 16, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$67.42Feb 16, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$56.18Feb 16, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$56.18Feb 16, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$33.98Feb 16, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$33.98Feb 16, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$0.00Feb 16, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$31.96Feb 16, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.00Feb 16, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$36.96Feb 16, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$36.59Feb 16, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$5.00Feb 16, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$13.25Feb 16, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$10.00Feb 16, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$10.00Feb 16, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$3.08Feb 2, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$20.00Feb 2, 21:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $21.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 23:45 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 19:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.