Helpful-Toy
0x178549e5798d1c2c564736611ec9a47cedf6efa7
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-853.33
Realised
$41.97
Win rate
84%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?
175 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.64
- YES
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?
119 shares @ 25.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,900 December 29-January 4?
112 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
106 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?
105 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
95 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
84 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.18
- YES
Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Score
80 shares @ 40.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 3?
60 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.16Jul 16, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.06Jul 16, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$4.10Jul 16, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.04Jul 16, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$2.30Jul 16, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$4.14Jul 16, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$4.14Jul 16, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$3.70Jul 16, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$3.92Jul 16, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.35Jul 16, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$2.07Jul 16, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$2.08Jul 16, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$2.06Jul 16, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$2.07Jul 16, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$6.31Jul 16, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.05Jul 16, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.03Jul 16, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$1.72Jul 16, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$2.04Jul 16, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.03Jul 16, 20:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
80/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
84% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
31 closed markets, 84% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $4.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 14:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 21:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.