Showy-Methane
0x17915038b8f5305d1a437e8201a8395efc63f8ec
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$14.65
Total PnL
$-83.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$13.00
$-37.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 12?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.60
$0.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 12?
100 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.05
$-15.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 12?
152 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 12?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 12?
120 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-19.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 12?
100 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on May 12?
50 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?$0.354h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?$0.264h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?$0.314h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?$0.954h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 12?$19.205h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 12?$8.955h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on May 12?$0.825h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 12?$0.115h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on May 12?$0.295h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on May 12?$0.965h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on May 12?$0.055h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on May 12?$0.245h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on May 12?$0.045h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?$10.455h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?$0.235h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 12?$0.406h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 12?$0.046h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 12?$0.566h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?$6.456h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 12?$0.576h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $6.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".