Muddy-Runaway
0x1798bfe1b198b93c6220adeb0944256a2857215a
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$250.27
Total PnL
$-26.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?
160 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$160.09
$3.29
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
90 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$90.18
$0.90
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,000 (LOW) in March 2026?
350 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 78-79°F on June 10?
267 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will Chainlink dip to $4 in March?
251 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Gavin Newsom arrested by Friday?
233 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.96
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
220 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.42
- YES
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2025 Travelers Championship?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
165 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
158 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-8.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?$156.80Apr 25, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?$89.28Apr 21, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$119.76Apr 8, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$119.88Apr 8, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,000 (LOW) in March 2026?$1.05Mar 30, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$158.17Mar 29, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink dip to $4 in March?$1.05Mar 26, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$158.08Mar 25, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1.54Mar 22, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?$40.00Feb 15, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?$60.00Feb 15, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Everton FC win on 2025-12-13?$130.06Feb 15, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Jerome Powell in November?$150.00Feb 15, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2025-12-13?$106.34Dec 10, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Jerome Powell in November?$149.85Nov 29, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$8.40Nov 21, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$2.42Nov 13, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$19.82Nov 1, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$8.10Oct 31, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$11.72Oct 31, 16:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $68.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 12:38 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.