Eager-Oar
0x17a00d8388d8969410bd38f1348291aca0c16a16
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$7.28
Total PnL
$-122.93
Realised
$4.56
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
235 shares @ 3.4¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.88
$-4.12
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.39
$-1.61
- YES
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times August 15–August 22?
370 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-5.16
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
313 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 375–389 times August 1–August 8?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times August 22–August 29?
170 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-8.47
- YES
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 22–August 29?
143 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times August 15–August 22?
132 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-11.79
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
117 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole?
60 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$5.00May 4, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$7.25May 4, 20:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$2.00Feb 20, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$2.03Jan 26, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$5.00Jan 14, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 12, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.00Jan 12, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$4.23Jan 5, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$3.00Dec 19, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$1.00Dec 19, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$3.51Dec 19, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$14.28Dec 19, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$3.00Dec 12, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$0.92Dec 6, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$8.00Nov 30, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$9.98Nov 30, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$3.00Nov 30, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$3.33Nov 30, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$5.00Nov 27, 13:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $6.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 22, 18:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 20:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".