Stale-History
0x17a6440b6b3f7fde090d5fc1a7f2500d2a8fe8f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-35.02
Realised
$0.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Michigan Presidential Election?
150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Ansem be the biggest winner of The House Poker Night?
140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Texas Presidential Election?
130 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will RFK Jr. win 6-7% of the popular vote?
125 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will Trump lead in RCP by 1-1.4 on Nov 4?
120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win New Mexico Presidential Election?
113 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
108 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Virginia Presidential Election?
102 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
97 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Trump sentenced to between 12 and 23 months prison time?
60 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Knicks$17.46Feb 17, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Knicks$16.09Feb 17, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.13Dec 1, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Giants win the NFC Championship?$0.10Nov 12, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maccabi TLV win the UEFA Europa League?$0.00Nov 11, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maccabi TLV win the UEFA Europa League?$0.00Nov 11, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maccabi TLV win the UEFA Europa League?$0.15Nov 11, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?$0.11Nov 7, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. win 6-7% of the popular vote?$0.13Nov 7, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$0.10Nov 6, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win New Mexico Presidential Election?$0.11Nov 5, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.11Nov 5, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryce Hall be the biggest loser of The House Poker Night? $0.13Nov 4, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ansem be the biggest winner of The House Poker Night? $0.14Nov 4, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Texas Presidential Election?$0.13Nov 4, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Michigan Presidential Election?$0.15Nov 4, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump lead in RCP by 1-1.4 on Nov 4?$0.12Nov 4, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Ohio US Senate Election?$0.12Nov 4, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin Jefferson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.18Nov 4, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Montana US Senate Election?$0.13Nov 4, 20:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $0.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 2, 09:25 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 17:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".