Vast-Boyfriend
0x17a72c7fc88753fffb47627ac75d2b415b862925
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$64.33
Total PnL
$-826.68
Realised
$-4.57
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
100 shares @ 30.5¢·now 42.5¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$42.50
$12.00
- YES
Will Independiente Rivadavia win Copa Libertadores?
151 shares @ 1.0¢·now 5.7¢·exp Dec 12, 2026$8.51
$6.97
- YES
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
155 shares @ 0.5¢·now 3.4¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$5.20
$4.42
- YES
Will Rosario Central win Copa Libertadores?
88 shares @ 0.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 12, 2026$4.85
$4.14
- YES
Will Universidad Católica win Copa Libertadores?
27 shares @ 1.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 12, 2026$1.49
$1.22
- NO
Will Flamengo win Copa Libertadores?
1 shares @ 33.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 12, 2026$1.08
$0.63
- YES
Will Corinthians win Copa Libertadores?
9 shares @ 1.0¢·now 6.6¢·exp Dec 12, 2026$0.58
$0.49
- YES
Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
12 shares @ 0.6¢·now 1.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$0.12
$0.05
- NO
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
1400 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-567.56
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$4.89Jul 20, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.00Jul 20, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jul 20, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$2.7KJul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$428.75Jul 19, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Independiente Rivadavia win Copa Libertadores?$0.87Jul 19, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Independiente Rivadavia win Copa Libertadores?$0.13Jul 19, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1.2KJul 19, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$14.00Jul 15, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$6.00Jul 15, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$15.20Jul 15, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$60.80Jul 15, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$76.00Jul 15, 20:34 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.77Jul 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$15.50Jul 12, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$8.11Jul 12, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$10.00Jul 12, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$157.53Jul 12, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1.98Jul 12, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$2.54Jul 12, 02:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $69.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 11:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.