Careless-Chronicle
0x17ae49e50f4c54af6bca37932be22c792184c249
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$87.16
Total PnL
$-58.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 2?
87 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$87.16
$1.66
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 4?
273 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.55
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 11, 11PM ET
271 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 11?
269 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.42
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 7?
263 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 3?
262 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.36
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 8?
260 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.56
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 16?
248 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on January 16?
230 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.76
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 22?
179 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 2?$85.50Jun 1, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 26?$80.81Jun 1, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 26?$0.18May 26, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 26?$79.33May 26, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 18?$99.33May 26, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 22?$1.53May 21, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 18?$97.84May 18, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 17?$89.13May 18, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 17?$86.01May 16, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 30, 2PM ET$105.43May 8, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on January 10?$0.00May 1, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 10?$0.00Apr 25, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 9?$0.00Apr 15, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 12?$1.83Apr 11, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 3?$1.50Apr 3, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of March 30 2026?$1.25Apr 3, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 9, 2PM ET$0.00Apr 2, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTom Lee mindshare all time high by March 31?$2.60Apr 1, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 11?$0.00Mar 31, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 30, 2PM ET$101.74Mar 30, 18:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $23.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 15:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 21:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".