Failing-Certainty
0x17bae430f1a7d864774445df90157e438062e881
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$17.58
Total PnL
$2.24
Realised
$0.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?$6.78Oct 20, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$6.30Oct 20, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2025 Italy GP pole?$0.27May 18, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the top AI model on May 31?$39.92May 18, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $200k in May?$8.97May 18, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut in 2025?$25.20May 18, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $8000 in May?$26.92May 18, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1900 on May 16?$0.00May 18, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1900 on May 16?$0.10May 15, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1900 on May 16?$0.02May 15, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1900 on May 16?$0.02May 15, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1900 on May 16?$0.02May 15, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1900 on May 16?$0.02May 15, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1900 on May 16?$0.01May 15, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1900 on May 16?$0.00May 15, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1900 on May 16?$0.01May 15, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1900 on May 16?$0.00May 15, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1900 on May 16?$0.00May 15, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1900 on May 16?$0.00May 15, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1900 on May 16?$0.02May 15, 06:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 12:40 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 20, 09:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".