Guilty-Thread
0x17c9fd4a2804974f8c1bae094b2943f6b9945b69
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-361.82
Realised
$87.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 53-54°F on October 28?
23718 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-75.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 29?
455 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-161.50
- YES
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
340 shares @ 62.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-212.28
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 63-64°F on October 30?$10.00Oct 30, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$40.08Oct 30, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$172.20Oct 30, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 57-58°F on October 30?$2.57Oct 30, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 63-64°F on October 30?$4.00Oct 30, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 63-64°F on October 30?$4.00Oct 30, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$194.00Oct 30, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 29?$3.75Oct 29, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$150.00Oct 29, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 29?$6.00Oct 29, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 29?$10.50Oct 29, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 29?$45.00Oct 29, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 57-58°F on October 30?$1.03Oct 29, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 57-58°F on October 30?$0.36Oct 29, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 57-58°F on October 30?$0.06Oct 29, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 57-58°F on October 30?$0.70Oct 29, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 57-58°F on October 30?$21.00Oct 29, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 29?$9.53Oct 29, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 57-58°F on October 30?$11.11Oct 29, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 29?$1.50Oct 29, 10:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $36.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 21:01 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 30, 20:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".