Voluminous-Probability
0x17d2d52761deac24549f551559a0e22199202faa
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$14.73
Total PnL
$-108.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
23 shares @ 87.0¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.66
$-8.34
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?
113 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $100m?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 11–18?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sam Altman be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
120 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Trump attend the FIFA Club World Cup finals?
116 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
60 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-18.31
- YES
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?$1.00Feb 2, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.00Feb 2, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?$1.00Jan 25, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 22, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$46.09Jan 14, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$3.00Jan 14, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jesus Christ return in 2025?$1.02Jan 14, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon register the America Party in 2025?$3.70Jan 14, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? $5.94Jan 14, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast be the next CEO of X?$10.59Jan 14, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$47.00Nov 19, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession in 2025?$47.36Nov 19, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?$18.31Nov 5, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.00Oct 29, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Altman be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.00Oct 29, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Oct 29, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?$21.31Oct 29, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?$17.86Oct 24, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?$17.86Oct 24, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$10.88Sep 14, 14:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $7.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 12:23 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 23:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".