Grubby-Pagan
0x17e042b6c9a3225d0a19b0ed6420e694426b64e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$-163.90
Win rate
44%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
5638 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-12.11
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
3500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-14.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
1148 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-248.37
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
1033 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on May 5?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 53 million or more views on day 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on May 5?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on May 5?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$10.28Jun 13, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$4.04Jun 13, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$5.93Jun 13, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$10.14Jun 13, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.12Jun 13, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$6.80Jun 13, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$6.73Jun 13, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$9.99Jun 13, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$4.86Jun 13, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$2.26Jun 13, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.42Jun 13, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.52Jun 13, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.18Jun 13, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$2.30Jun 13, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$2.30Jun 13, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$4.13Jun 13, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$3.10Jun 13, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$3.10Jun 13, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$10.00Jun 13, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.69Jun 13, 15:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.