Incompatible-Privacy
0x17e1e0bc5526bd8f62bfd73ae49d01e2b9331e82
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$28.32
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$103.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
871 shares @ 14.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.32
$-93.68
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
343840 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-687.68
- NO
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
25000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?
2048 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-189.21
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-64.00
- YES
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?
1304 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?
1304 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Nigeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
655 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
625 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$133.68Apr 8, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?$44.73Apr 8, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$88.29Apr 8, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$304.00Apr 8, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$200.00Apr 8, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$50.00Apr 8, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$50.00Apr 8, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?$100.00Apr 8, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$100.00Apr 8, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$804.22Apr 8, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$396.00Apr 1, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$214.41Apr 1, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$182.02Apr 1, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$152.47Mar 30, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$152.48Mar 30, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$140.42Mar 29, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$140.06Mar 29, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$110.00Mar 27, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$110.31Feb 28, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$66.60Jan 15, 14:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $150.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 13:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 08:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.