Yawning-Broccoli
0x17e5540bc696fd3e8b7da9101a93e4835c783d19
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$9.8K
Total PnL
$-33.8K
Realised
$-22.7K
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
11996 shares @ 50.0¢·now 19.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.4K
$-3.6K
- YES
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
162827 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$814.14
$-457.87
- YES
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
162827 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$651.31
$-620.70
- YES
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
162827 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$569.89
$-702.11
- YES
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
162827 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$569.89
$-702.11
- YES
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
162827 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$488.48
$-783.52
- YES
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
162827 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$488.48
$-783.52
- YES
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
57520 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$373.88
$123.38
- YES
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
70543 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$352.71
$-198.37
- YES
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
70543 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$246.90
$-304.18
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.06Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01Jul 22, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.82Jul 22, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.69Jul 22, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.56Jul 22, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.02Jul 22, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.60Jul 22, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.43Jul 22, 06:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.20Jul 20, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.03Jul 20, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.07Jul 20, 02:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.36Jul 19, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.60Jul 19, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.03Jul 19, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.48Jul 19, 03:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 10:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.