Sneaky-Spouse
0x17f4b0fe0b10bcb3b04cfe102a6bc2c8ae659d7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.1K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-36.31
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 in July?
500 shares @ 97.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$498.50
$13.00
- NO
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in July?
500 shares @ 97.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$498.25
$12.75
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
500 shares @ 85.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$493.75
$68.75
- NO
Will Meta say "Hiring" during earnings call?
326 shares @ 17.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$325.92
$267.44
- NO
Will Hunter Goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
268 shares @ 93.9¢·now 84.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$226.32
$-25.26
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in July?
200 shares @ 84.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$195.80
$27.80
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
200 shares @ 79.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$191.90
$33.90
- NO
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 19, 2026?
127 shares @ 91.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$113.44
$-2.88
- NO
Will anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Big Brother E12?
163 shares @ 84.6¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$110.83
$-27.02
- NO
Will MrBeast say "Karl" during his next gaming YouTube video?
110 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$107.75
$4.34
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "Trump" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$37.40Jul 29, 22:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Qualcomm (QCOM) Q3 QCT chip revenue be above $8B?$21.00Jul 29, 22:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Qualcomm (QCOM) Q3 QCT chip revenue be above $8.25B?$21.00Jul 29, 22:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$6.38Jul 29, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$5.47Jul 29, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill "China" or "Chinese" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$6.38Jul 29, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Car" or "Vehicle" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$6.44Jul 29, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon say "Drone" during earnings call?$9.69Jul 29, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Different" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$1.00Jul 29, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Generous" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$5.86Jul 29, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon say "Third Party Seller" during earnings call?$1.80Jul 29, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon say "Third Party Seller" during earnings call?$0.54Jul 29, 21:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31?$23.59Jul 29, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon say "Third Party Seller" during earnings call?$32.13Jul 29, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon say "Anthropic" during earnings call?$24.18Jul 29, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Honestly" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$5.26Jul 29, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EDWARD GAMING Make the LPL 2026 Split 3 Grand Final?$6.04Jul 29, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Suzhou LNG Esports Make the LPL 2026 Split 3 Grand Final?$0.84Jul 29, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?$31.00Jul 29, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?$21.00Jul 29, 20:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $11.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 04:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 22:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.