Wallet digest

active

Activity score

47/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-17.5K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 16

DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
4638 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-2.3K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2320 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2320 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
2320 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
2320 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
2319 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
2319 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
2319 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
2318 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2318 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K

Recent activity

REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.06Feb 6, 01:23 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$2.3KDec 10, 06:09 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$0.00Dec 10, 05:51 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$0.00Dec 10, 05:51 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$0.00Dec 10, 05:51 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.00Dec 10, 05:51 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Dec 10, 05:51 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Dec 10, 05:51 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$0.00Dec 10, 05:51 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$4.6KDec 10, 05:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.2KDec 10, 05:21 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.2KDec 10, 05:20 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$0.00Dec 10, 05:19 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$0.00Dec 10, 05:19 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.00Dec 10, 05:19 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$2.3KDec 10, 05:19 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Dec 10, 05:19 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Dec 10, 05:19 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$0.00Dec 10, 05:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$33.49Dec 10, 05:06 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity30 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry100 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk64 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 15
Avg trade size: $927.40
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 10, 03:49 UTC
Last active: Feb 6, 01:23 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 13:25:19 UTC·src:Polymarket Data