Bright-Playwright
0x180816de6fa65642b00189c088d051c0a8b6fc98
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$3.20
Total PnL
$-140.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.63
$0.63
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
95 shares @ 4.2¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.57
$-2.43
- NO
Will Israel strike Syria by September 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $6.00 in September?
780 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
622 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will JD Vance announce Presidential run in 2025?
462 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-23.11
- YES
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
128 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 15?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US recession in 2025?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.00Nov 4, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by October 31?$10.00Oct 10, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$14.52Oct 10, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on Poland by December 31?$9.50Oct 2, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$10.00Oct 2, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$10.00Oct 2, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLGhislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of sexual misconduct?$4.00Sep 24, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Probability" during September press conference?$10.64Sep 19, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference?$15.15Sep 19, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMBayrou out as French PM by September 30?$0.00Sep 14, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMLee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea before September?$0.00Sep 14, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?$0.00Sep 14, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?$0.00Sep 14, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 280–294 times August 29–September 5?$0.00Sep 14, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMHouthi strike on Israel by August 31?$0.00Sep 14, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by September 30?$1.00Sep 13, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 20?$1.00Sep 13, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 15?$1.00Sep 13, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Sep 13, 21:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $6.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 26, 10:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".