Ignorant-Rehospitalisation
0x180c69d52f92375ccf33744e51fcd5c9e76f1ec1
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-622.18
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 26?
160 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.55
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
36 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.34
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 26?
20 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.44
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 26?
20 shares @ 51.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.25
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
20 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
20 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-9.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.92
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
13 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.39
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
12 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.84
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
10 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$5.00Apr 19, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$5.00Apr 19, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$5.00Apr 19, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$5.00Apr 19, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$5.00Apr 19, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$5.00Apr 19, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$5.00Apr 19, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$5.00Apr 19, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$5.00Apr 19, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$5.00Apr 19, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$5.00Apr 19, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$5.00Apr 19, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$5.00Apr 19, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$5.00Apr 19, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$5.00Apr 19, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$5.00Apr 19, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$5.00Apr 19, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$5.00Apr 19, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$4.90Apr 19, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$0.10Apr 19, 00:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $3.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 23:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 06:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.