Concerned-Patty
0x181116d5cae913e8f3f230c24d16fc7178f60a93
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-0.73
Win rate
11%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- AURORA
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Nemesis (BO3)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on December 22?
385 shares @ 92.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-355.85
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on December 4?
200 shares @ 96.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-192.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on December 16?
172 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
122 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on December 15?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
107 shares @ 58.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-63.01
- TEAM FALCONS
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$2.00Feb 14, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$0.70Feb 14, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$2.00Feb 14, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.00Feb 14, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$5.00Jan 31, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$5.00Jan 31, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$1.57Jan 23, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$10.00Jan 23, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.82Jan 23, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$2.50Jan 23, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$5.00Jan 23, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$12.77Jan 23, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$22.91Jan 23, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$22.91Jan 23, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$15.54Jan 23, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$13.28Jan 23, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$5.00Jan 23, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.90Jan 23, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.68Jan 23, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$5.00Jan 23, 10:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $7.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 15:49 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 13:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".