Warlike-Concentration
0x18141a09e3e696cbf21dd18f29c904146136ace5
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$91.35
Total PnL
$-251.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 12?
91 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$91.35
$1.46
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 20?
230 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on January 30?
225 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.74
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 31?
200 shares @ 98.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-196.87
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on March 28?
180 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
173 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on April 27?
128 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 18?
117 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 6?
107 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
92 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 12?$0.10Jul 12, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 12?$89.79Jul 12, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 11?$84.97Jul 12, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 11?$0.04Jul 11, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 11?$0.14Jul 11, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 11?$0.11Jul 11, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 11?$82.13Jul 11, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 1?$3.07Jul 1, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?$70.56Jun 3, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?$68.02Jun 1, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 28?$3.04May 27, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?$76.87May 24, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?$0.20May 23, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?$74.83May 23, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 22?$2.53May 22, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 18?$3.00May 17, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$82.64May 15, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$0.14May 14, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$80.19May 14, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?$2.06May 10, 03:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $27.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 08:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 01:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.