Wallet digest

Activity score

16/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

133

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-72.1K

Realised

$-43.3K

Win rate

132 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 133

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
3500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-1.8K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
2800 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-1.4K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
2800 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-1.4K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
2800 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-1.4K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
2299 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-24.99
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
2191 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-36.10
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
2100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-1.1K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
1713 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-22.84
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
1666 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-29.86
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
1424 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-52.31

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$1.39Feb 17, 00:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$21.88Feb 17, 00:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$27.91Feb 17, 00:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$42.75Feb 17, 00:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$45.46Feb 17, 00:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$82.69Feb 17, 00:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$133.51Feb 17, 00:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$140.46Feb 17, 00:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$144.47Feb 17, 00:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$160.94Feb 17, 00:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$170.34Feb 17, 00:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$206.45Feb 17, 00:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$220.00Feb 17, 00:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$275.26Feb 17, 00:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$700.00Feb 17, 00:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$700.00Feb 17, 00:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$700.00Feb 17, 00:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$2.1KFeb 17, 00:41 UTC
MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$700.00Feb 15, 23:10 UTC
SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$700.00Feb 15, 23:07 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity0 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry68 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk20 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 0
Avg trade size: $0.00
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 15, 19:15 UTC
Last active: Feb 17, 00:41 UTC
Win rate sample: 132 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 12:23:33 UTC·src:Polymarket Data