Wicked-Parchment
0x181ab7bb75856648a44a05cfc87c097fbc619a03
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-35.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 10AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8?
75 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.06
- YES
Trump out as President by March 31?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.77
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
16 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 8?
12 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 8?$2.60Apr 7, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8?$2.00Apr 7, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8?$1.00Apr 7, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$5.64Apr 7, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)$2.00Jan 31, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B$1.00Jan 31, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A$1.00Jan 31, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B$1.00Jan 31, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 7 days or more?$5.00Jan 29, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$1.15Jan 28, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$2.00Jan 28, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "UFC" or "Dana White" during Iowa speech?$13.14Jan 28, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "UFC" or "Dana White" during Iowa speech?$3.68Jan 27, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$3.68Jan 27, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$4.99Jan 22, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$1.94Jan 22, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?$3.06Jan 22, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$2.22Jan 22, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during WEF Address on January 21?$12.21Jan 21, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$3.34Jan 21, 20:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 16:21 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 20:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".