Smug-Burden
0x181f5e8593beb8985b3f28cf97183ec868564d60
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$23.40
Total PnL
$-160.87
Realised
$7.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
58 shares @ 17.4¢·now 25.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.53
$4.53
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.87
$3.87
- YES
Will another man be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
444 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
222 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
No Trump vs. Harris debates before election?
222 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" 5+ times during his Bitcoin Conference speech?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
63 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by August 31?
59 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
44 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will Trump say "border czar" at debate?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 00:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".