Hard-Mechanism
0x18217333881ce4338570e6bbd41674d0393ea7c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$44.80
Total PnL
$-564.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
186 shares @ 17.6¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.60
$-3.06
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
98 shares @ 10.2¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.46
$-0.54
- YES
Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
425 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.74
$-4.14
- YES
Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 2 - 0 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?
117 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- MANCHESTER CITY FC
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
105 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-29.35
- YES
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 FC Barcelona?
92 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.88
- YES
Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score
85 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-44.35
- NO
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?
81 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?
78 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-49.44
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?
75 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-19.56
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$12.15May 30, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.12May 30, 11:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.17May 27, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.19May 27, 18:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.85May 25, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.76May 25, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.62May 25, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.27May 25, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.36May 25, 19:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $20.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 18:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".