Vague-Grace
0x182400589b3a5042476b90901d832f258d5a571a
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$44.33
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$413.24
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
216 shares @ 36.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$44.33
$-33.52
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
2375 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-402.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 16?
2051 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
1304 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-277.40
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
1248 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-224.88
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
1033 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?
821 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.07
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?
513 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-96.67
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?
512 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-146.06
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
443 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-48.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$79.84Jun 4, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?$46.68May 25, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 26?$46.58May 25, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 26?$49.74May 25, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25?$16.70May 25, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25?$49.56May 25, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?$10.07Mar 5, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?$96.68Mar 3, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?$5.00Mar 3, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?$101.75Mar 3, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?$99.02Mar 2, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$99.02Feb 28, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$118.39Feb 28, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$118.39Feb 28, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$103.74Feb 28, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$103.74Feb 28, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$95.54Feb 27, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 19?$0.84Feb 19, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 19?$327.17Feb 19, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 19?$327.17Feb 19, 12:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $170.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 12:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 16:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".