Pleasant-Prevention
0x1831303deec90ad1a4568864a03025f067d45544
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$25.19
Win rate
59%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
1000 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-122.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
540 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-36.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
400 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-56.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
400 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-16.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
400 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-97.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
350 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
300 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-80.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
300 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-73.74
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
300 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-102.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$0.06Jul 21, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$3.03Jul 21, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$99.99Jul 21, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$25.00Jul 21, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$58.54Jul 21, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$9.89Jul 21, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$2.79Jul 21, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$34.11Jul 21, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$4.00Jul 21, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.35Jul 21, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$7.50Jul 21, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$7.73Jul 21, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$5.00Jul 21, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$20.00Jul 21, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.99Jul 21, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$19.80Jul 21, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$26.40Jul 21, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.65Jul 21, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$11.87Jul 21, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$16.50Jul 21, 13:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
59% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $14.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 08:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 15:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.