Alarmed-Influence
0x183d846b96510f1987db52648545317427d91270
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$4.55
Total PnL
$-107.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
1138 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 29, 2026$4.55
$-86.45
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
3445060 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.8K
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?
76399 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-56.5K
- YES
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?
60000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.8K
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
59108 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-17.1K
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?
33238 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-17.0K
- YES
Will Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?
10000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-999.99
- YES
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
5 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$91.00Jun 10, 18:42 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$62.66May 20, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$6.20May 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$4.8KMay 19, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$3.69May 19, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$416.96May 19, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$2.54May 19, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$0.43May 19, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$0.43May 19, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$5.86May 19, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$11.71May 19, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$3.51May 19, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$73.61May 19, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$6.34May 19, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$3.09May 19, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$2.53May 19, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$1.53May 19, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$6.30May 19, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$1.2KMay 19, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$3.89May 19, 19:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $215.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 19:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 18:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.