Gaseous-Frog
0x183fec68fb598e22c075ebae19c09fcbdd695a4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-32.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by October 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
405 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 5?
309 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15?
309 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?
257 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- NO
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?
28 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-24.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?$79.08Jun 4, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?$79.01Jun 4, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 26?$79.08May 26, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 26?$79.00May 25, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?$79.08May 24, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?$79.01May 24, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in May 2026?$79.08May 21, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in May 2026?$79.00May 19, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?$79.08May 12, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?$79.01May 12, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 9?$78.08May 9, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 9?$78.01May 8, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 4?$79.08May 6, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 4?$79.00May 6, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$1.01May 6, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on May 4?$17.09May 5, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$62.06May 5, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$1.00May 4, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on May 4?$17.00May 3, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?$1.15May 3, 07:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $59.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 12:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 18:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".