Limited-Organization
0x184137634ef81d84bfeed6b7c134d1defcb8c63d
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$19.69
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
305 shares @ 9.8¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$19.69
$-10.31
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?
1162 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
909 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- TEXANS
Texans vs. Patriots
602 shares @ 33.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
562 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- PATRIOTS
Seahawks vs. Patriots
313 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- 49ERS
49ers vs. Seahawks
312 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
- 49ERS
Seahawks vs. 49ers
302 shares @ 43.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-132.00
- BRONCOS
Patriots vs. Broncos
286 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.30Jun 28, 20:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $22.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 19:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.