Torn-Independence
0x1841cee6186e162f6a51562a03a513d92b9178fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.59
Total PnL
$-413.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?
78 shares @ 1.3¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$2.02
$1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on July 23?
72 shares @ 3.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.81
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 22?
253 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$1.65
$-2.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C or higher on July 23?
61 shares @ 2.9¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.04
$-0.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 22?
105 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.05
$-3.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 22?
38 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.02
$-3.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 14?
1634 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 10?
1119 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 15?
1060 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 14?
758 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on July 23?$1.26Jul 22, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 23?$6.84Jul 22, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?$1.06Jul 22, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 23?$4.05Jul 22, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 22?$1.82Jul 22, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 22?$3.57Jul 22, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 22?$4.38Jul 22, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 22?$8.61Jul 22, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 22?$1.12Jul 22, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 23?$6.87Jul 22, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 23?$3.61Jul 22, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 22?$5.23Jul 22, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 22?$8.11Jul 22, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 23?$6.73Jul 22, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C or higher on July 23?$1.87Jul 22, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 23?$3.99Jul 22, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on July 23?$2.96Jul 22, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 23?$3.56Jul 22, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 23?$3.53Jul 22, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 23?$2.66Jul 22, 10:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $3.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 08:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.