Vague-Cheddar
0x1843126032cfc7dcb1139f17ba6589bdcaa7e483
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$14.35
Total PnL
$-46.71
Realised
$4.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
14 shares @ 15.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$14.35
$12.14
- YES
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?
7333 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-7.99
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
5275 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
818 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.91
- YES
Will the Colts win the AFC Championship?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
25 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.21Jan 7, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?$1.06Jan 7, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$1.15Jan 7, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$1.75Jan 6, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$10.00Jan 6, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Rams win the NFC Championship?$1.79Jan 6, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?$0.89Jan 6, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?$0.89Jan 6, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?$1.18Jan 6, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?$5.00Dec 26, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Rams win the NFC Championship?$2.00Dec 26, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship?$5.00Dec 26, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Colts win the AFC Championship?$1.00Dec 26, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYJaguars vs. Colts$4.17Dec 26, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?$0.00Dec 26, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMLions vs. Vikings$0.00Dec 26, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMLions vs. Vikings$4.17Dec 26, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$25.00Dec 24, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$4.91Dec 24, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLions vs. Vikings$1.00Dec 24, 21:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $3.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 20:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 20:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.