Arid-Manor
0x1847dc266b3de65e19768bc384b9448f762bebcf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- PANTHERS
Panthers vs. Saints
6552 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-3.9K
- NO
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?
4654 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.7K
- NO
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-10-18?
1136 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-465.59
- YES
Will Burnley FC vs. Leeds United end in a draw?
529 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-158.77
- GEN.G
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)
73 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-62.42
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?$179.03Jun 1, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?$0.42May 5, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?$21.73May 5, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?$149.01May 5, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$172.12May 1, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$157.15Apr 8, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?$157.14Apr 8, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?$154.03Mar 23, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$154.03Mar 23, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$149.72Mar 3, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$149.72Mar 3, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$137.89Feb 10, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Chicago Bulls?$137.89Feb 10, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Chicago Bulls?$132.93Feb 5, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$132.93Feb 5, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$127.88Jan 19, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMOver $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?$127.88Jan 16, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?$123.15Jan 8, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$123.09Jan 8, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanthers vs. Saints$94.21Dec 14, 08:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $78.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 04:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 06:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".