Average-State
0x1854bc25f8dd63297d5804882ce9f0e967793ece
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-831.18
Realised
$114.47
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
127128 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-740.65
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 4?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on March 5?
674 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-58.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?
382 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-58.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?
205 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?
143 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?
133 shares @ 37.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$64.00Mar 6, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$127.10Mar 6, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$5.01Mar 6, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$6.67Mar 6, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be above $90 on March 6?$1.12Mar 6, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on March 6?$1.00Mar 6, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 6, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?$1.00Mar 5, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?$1.00Mar 5, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 5, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 5, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 5, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 5, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$18.00Mar 5, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 5, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 5, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 5, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$23.00Mar 5, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$6.00Mar 5, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$20.00Mar 5, 18:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $41.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 11:14 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 14:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".