Single-Position
0x18554f62bd17ab909c990e82a953974d18438c06
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-127.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 28?
227 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.59
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 28?
123 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 22?
120 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.76
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 25?
118 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 11?
116 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.68
- UP
Solana Up or Down on January 29?
111 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.55
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 21?
107 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.09
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on January 30?
104 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,800 on January 26?
102 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.44
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 30?
97 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 1?$19.36Jun 1, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 28?$1.70May 28, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.30 May 18-24?$20.47May 25, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 25?$2.40May 24, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.30 May 18-24?$19.04May 24, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 23?$1.22May 22, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 13?$23.24May 13, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 13?$1.03May 13, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 13?$19.89May 12, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 13?$24.14May 1, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 19-25?$0.00Apr 18, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 13?$22.35Apr 12, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 11?$2.88Apr 11, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.00Apr 11, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSisyphus mindshare all time high by March 31?$68.05Apr 1, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 19-25?$0.00Apr 1, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 31?$2.58Mar 30, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on January 26?$0.00Mar 30, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $130 on January 25?$0.00Mar 29, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on March 28?$1.47Mar 28, 12:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $40.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 12:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 00:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.