Careless-Perception
0x185de51b8bda0853b2b6b999316cebe40f126828
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-34.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
173 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Gaza" 5+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?
171 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Wagner Moura win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
102 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
80 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Nothing" 2+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?
70 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Israel" 13+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Peace" 8+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
34 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$40.44Mar 16, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$7.57Feb 27, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Feb 12, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Feb 12, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.00Feb 12, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Secret Agent" win in the Non-English Language Film category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$2.00Feb 12, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Feb 12, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nothing" 2+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?$1.00Feb 12, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Gaza" 5+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?$1.00Feb 12, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Israel" 13+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?$1.00Feb 12, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peace" 8+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?$1.00Feb 12, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wagner Moura win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?$1.00Feb 12, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Feb 12, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Feb 12, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Feb 12, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Feb 12, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Feb 12, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Babu Santana win Big Brother Brasil 26?$2.00Feb 12, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Feb 12, 01:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $2.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 01:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 05:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".