Grumpy-Sack
0x185e264b226f44f71dd64f8107fb9a162923720f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Rabi Lamichhane be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
489 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.49
- YES
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- NO
Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?
15 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.04
- NO
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?
13 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.60
- NO
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.14
- YES
Will MrBeast's latest video get 24 million or more views on day 1?
10 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.08
- NEW ZEALAND
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand
6 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.06
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
5 shares @ 37.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?
5 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
- NO
GPT-5.4 released by March 31?
5 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$0.42Jun 13, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals$2.65Apr 28, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$0.05Apr 28, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings$3.00Apr 23, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand$0.06Mar 8, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Communist Party of Nepal (UML) win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?$0.05Mar 8, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rabi Lamichhane be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$0.01Mar 8, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rabi Lamichhane be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$0.01Mar 8, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rabi Lamichhane be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$0.02Mar 8, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.4 released by March 31?$0.01Mar 5, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Communist Party of Nepal (UML) win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?$0.22Mar 5, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Communist Party of Nepal (UML) win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?$0.36Mar 5, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.4 released by March 5?$0.38Mar 5, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.4 released by March 5?$0.82Mar 5, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.4 released by March 5?$1.40Mar 5, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rabi Lamichhane be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$0.11Mar 5, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rabi Lamichhane be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$0.34Mar 5, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?$0.01Feb 22, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get 24 million or more views on day 1?$0.08Feb 22, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?$0.04Feb 21, 23:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 07:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 06:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.