0x18610e87c6dede73035ed65fc67660c6b1f56a56
0x18610e87c6dede73035ed65fc67660c6b1f56a56
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-35.41
Realised
$347.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
15000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September meeting?
6568 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-48.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
3856 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
1323 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-47.50
- YES
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
800 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
497 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.88 and $2.91 on September 10 at 4PM ET?
362 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 17?$1.00Mar 16, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 16, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$72.46Mar 16, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 15, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 15, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$50.00Mar 15, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.10Feb 1, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$50.00Feb 1, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$20.00Jan 25, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$10.00Nov 25, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$20.00Nov 25, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$30.00Nov 25, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$20.00Nov 25, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$40.00Nov 25, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$6.88Nov 25, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$211.29Nov 25, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$246.26Nov 25, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?$1.00Nov 5, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$1.00Nov 5, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$50.00Nov 5, 01:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $29.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 22, 17:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 23:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.