Happy-Village
0x1864e00cff50246199c3055310479f00148a8ca9
Wallet digest
Activity score
28/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-574.73
Win rate
0%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?
4240 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.80
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1316 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-85.87
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 9?
1230 shares @ 31.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-390.06
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27?
570 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.11
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 30?
154 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-48.65
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?
144 shares @ 61.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-88.79
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 10?
108 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.06
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 31?
100 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11?
80 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.35
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 31?
77 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.55
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$55.78Jun 29, 09:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.35Jun 23, 10:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 34 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
34 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $7.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 16:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.