Crafty-Recipe
0x18663fe7db5d1d393ce1fa16613716f13a87ce68
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$2.60
Total PnL
$-20.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.62
$0.62
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 15.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.35
$-0.65
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.02
$-0.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
1125 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$0.00Feb 28, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?$1.00Feb 28, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$1.00Feb 28, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00Feb 28, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.00Feb 28, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$2.33Feb 28, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$0.00Feb 28, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$0.00Feb 28, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$0.00Feb 28, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$1.73Feb 28, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1.00Feb 27, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?$1.00Feb 27, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.00Feb 27, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.00Feb 27, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.00Feb 27, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.00Feb 27, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$6.00Feb 27, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.00Feb 27, 21:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 13:05 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 18:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.