Careful-Host
0x186c03c27d8d35b5e30a3daa5dff9a5435a4f982
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$244.94
Total PnL
$-768.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 5?
125 shares @ 95.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$122.82
$2.82
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
120 shares @ 82.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$120.00
$20.88
- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
210 shares @ 73.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-154.92
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
188 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
175 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
167 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
150 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.00Jun 4, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$52.72Jun 4, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$46.39Jun 4, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 5?$100.21Jun 4, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 5?$10.02Jun 4, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 5?$10.02Jun 4, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$1.01Jun 3, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$915.33Jun 2, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$4.54Jun 2, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$27.28Jun 2, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$167.58Jun 2, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$102.02Jun 2, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$7.94Jun 2, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$12.03Jun 2, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$6.17Jun 2, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$150.31Jun 2, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$32.76Jun 2, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$50.24Jun 2, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$404.03May 29, 18:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $89.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 14:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 23:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".