Old-Fatherinlaw
0x186cb9ce5222e895ffd848ed4141fc408e65b021
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
83
Open notional
$5.46
Total PnL
$-600.29
Realised
$17.03
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.66
$-2.34
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1 shares @ 92.2¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
- NO
Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$3.08May 30, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$5.34May 30, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$1.06May 30, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$20.70May 30, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$21.19May 30, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$4.54May 30, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$5.27May 30, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$10.48May 30, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$15.87May 30, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$10.33May 30, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$11.28May 30, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$10.36May 30, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$11.76May 30, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$10.37May 30, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$1.11May 22, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1.06May 18, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET$1.07May 18, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET$1.07May 18, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$1.07May 18, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$1.07May 18, 12:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $12.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 05:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 03:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".