Sudden-Guitar
0x186ebd5541ce5277ef08a6831b69f52a1350d21c
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$31.95
Total PnL
$-0.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel x Syria security deal before September?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$15.02
$0.01
- NO
Israel strikes Syria by August 31?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$5.32
$0.32
- NO
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.15
$0.15
- NO
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2025?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.13
$0.13
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.13
$0.13
- NO
Xi Jinping out before October?
2 shares @ 96.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$2.08
$0.08
- YES
Circle IPO in 2025?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Diddy be sentenced to life in prison?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will McDonald's worker get reward money before April?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Syria by August 31?$5.00Aug 31, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security deal before September?$15.00Aug 31, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$2.00Aug 31, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?$2.00Jul 31, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?$1.00Jul 31, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy be margin called in 2025?$2.00Jul 31, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before October?$2.00Jul 31, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?$1.02Jul 31, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump remove carried interest loophole before July?$1.04Jul 31, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. abandon Syrian base before April 2025?$1.05Jul 31, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMDeepSeek R2 released before May?$2.03Jul 31, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced before April?$2.03Jul 31, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMNew Pope in 2025?$1.01Jul 31, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill NASA estimate a 5% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?$1.01Jul 31, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEM10-year Treasury yield below 4% before April?$1.01Jul 31, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?$1.01Jul 31, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before May?$1.00Jul 31, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?$1.00Jun 30, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diddy be sentenced to life in prison?$1.00Jun 30, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?$1.00Jun 30, 19:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 09:58 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 31, 09:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".