Wallet digest

active

Activity score

41/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-2.8K

Realised

$-196.48

Win rate

27%

11 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 56

NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
16667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026
$0.00
$-50.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
15891 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026
$0.00
$-199.99
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
6980 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026
$0.00
$-16.86
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
3304 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026
$0.00
$-319.38
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026
$0.00
$-20.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
1447 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026
$0.00
$-39.99
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
1244 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026
$0.00
$-99.86
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026
$0.00
$-39.99
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
816 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026
$0.00
$-198.31
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
761 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026
$0.00
$-49.95

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$343.10Mar 1, 14:19 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$346.78Mar 1, 14:18 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$321.62Mar 1, 14:18 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$22.22Mar 1, 14:17 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$304.19Mar 1, 14:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$386.91Mar 1, 14:17 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$31.26Mar 1, 14:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$57.63Mar 1, 14:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$10.00Mar 1, 14:14 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$10.00Mar 1, 14:13 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$436.30Mar 1, 14:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$370.18Mar 1, 14:12 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$0.01Mar 1, 14:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$10.00Mar 1, 13:52 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$10.00Mar 1, 13:52 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$390.19Mar 1, 13:50 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$250.37Mar 1, 13:49 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$254.34Mar 1, 13:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$266.06Mar 1, 13:47 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$267.98Mar 1, 13:46 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence37 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry16 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk48 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 49
Avg trade size: $171.44
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 1, 13:18 UTC
Last active: Mar 1, 14:19 UTC
Win rate sample: 11 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 16:03:00 UTC·src:Polymarket Data