Well-Worn-Plaster
0x187e84a3721adbf10aea68f83b1125557811bcfa
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-266.45
Realised
$-94.09
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 10?
248 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.72
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 22?
217 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 27?
199 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 28?
191 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.43
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on March 25?
156 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-42.05
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 28?
115 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.78
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 24?
100 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 11?
96 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-25.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 1?
90 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.35
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?
85 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30?$51.84Jul 30, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30?$0.06Jul 30, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30?$49.45Jul 29, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 10?$3.98Jul 9, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 4?$55.41Jul 4, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 4?$53.58Jul 3, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 1?$2.51Jun 30, 22:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chainlink dip to $8 in May?$57.23Jun 1, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink dip to $8 in May?$53.91May 31, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$3.73May 21, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 18?$53.93May 18, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 18?$52.42May 18, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 11?$2.46May 10, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 8?$51.64May 8, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 8?$49.16May 7, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of April 13 2026?$58.18Apr 25, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of April 13 2026?$56.84Apr 17, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 29?$54.06Apr 17, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.75 Week of April 13 2026?$2.06Apr 16, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 11?$1.75Apr 11, 05:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $38.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 17:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 16:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.