Wordy-Duel
0x187fbd3114592d6a5420c937ca14e9cf64f55fee
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$12.7K
Total PnL
$698.05
Realised
$-98.96
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
3600 shares @ 82.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.3K
$342.00
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
8000 shares @ 36.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$2.4K
$-438.35
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
4485 shares @ 36.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.3K
$649.88
- YES
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
3334 shares @ 24.6¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$296.41
- YES
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?
6357 shares @ 14.7¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.0K
$83.64
- YES
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?
986 shares @ 42.6¢·now 62.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$616.06
$196.20
- NO
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
806 shares @ 71.9¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$555.71
$-23.70
- YES
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
1391 shares @ 23.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$452.17
$132.18
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?
6843 shares @ 10.7¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$372.92
$-356.91
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
1114 shares @ 38.6¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$306.42
$-123.44
Recent activity
- REWARD$3.28Jul 21, 04:09 UTC
- MERGEWill Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?$990.80Jul 21, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?$0.15Jul 21, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?$395.09Jul 20, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?$27.03Jul 20, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?$28.97Jul 20, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?$261.26Jul 20, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?$320.00Jul 20, 19:15 UTC
- REWARD$2.98Jul 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?$583.74Jul 19, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?$101.24Jul 19, 03:24 UTC
- REWARD$75.02Jul 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$984.00Jul 18, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$929.10Jul 18, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$33.98Jul 18, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$164.00Jul 18, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$20.91Jul 18, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$820.00Jul 18, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$391.07Jul 18, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$150.00Jul 18, 20:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $226.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 16:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 04:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.