Deadly-Stain
0x1890602499e43617dc58f3350c642275dc9620eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$4.8K
Total PnL
$-69.67
Realised
$61.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
3457 shares @ 78.9¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.7K
$-14.37
- YES
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
1852 shares @ 54.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$37.04
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
1444 shares @ 58.8¢·now 51.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$743.84
$-106.16
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
730 shares @ 27.4¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$215.46
$15.46
- YES
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
158 shares @ 48.2¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.25
$-35.86
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
711 shares @ 8.5¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$39.46
$-20.97
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 3.3¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$28.75
$12.25
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300 shares @ 5.2¢·now 4.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.95
$-1.65
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.50
$-16.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?$200.00Jun 26, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$400.00Jun 26, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?$650.00Jun 26, 04:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?$1000.00Jun 25, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$300.00Jun 25, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$1.0KJun 25, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$12.35Jun 25, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$228.00Jun 25, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$787.50Jun 25, 07:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 25, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.93Jun 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$10.79Jun 24, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$0.55Jun 24, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$12.50Jun 24, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$173.64Jun 24, 11:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 24, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$200.00Jun 23, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$4.00Jun 23, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$82.00Jun 23, 20:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$5.6K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 16, 18:30 UTC → Jun 16, 18:24 UTC
- BUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$5.6K@58¢Jun 16, 18:24 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$5.6K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
$5.6K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $435.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 07:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 14:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.