Sleepy-Casualty
0x1896648c9a084181ac4f0f59123a73c3c9a2e7c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
34629 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-11.8K
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?
11116 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-789.87
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?
10977 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-548.73
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?
10586 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2024$0.00
$-240.99
- YES
Will Trump say "Kamala" 8 or more times during Hannity interview?
3000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2024$0.00
$-450.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?
2818 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-203.21
- NO
Will Trump say "women's sports" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?
1200 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-96.00
- YES
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
1178 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-117.78
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 4-5%?
1040 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-97.56
- NO
Will Trump say "garbage" during Wisconsin rally on Oct 30?
1000 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2024$0.00
$-140.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$3.86Nov 5, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$1.45Nov 5, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$44.00Nov 5, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$6.12Nov 5, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$19.07Nov 5, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$6.07Nov 5, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$9.43Nov 5, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 4-5%?$57.59Nov 5, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 5-6%?$103.21Nov 5, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$58.77Nov 5, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$200.00Nov 5, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 7% or more?$24.11Nov 4, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 7% or more?$25.10Nov 4, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 7% or more?$76.44Nov 4, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 7% or more?$28.56Nov 4, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 7% or more?$28.39Nov 4, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 7% or more?$9.56Nov 4, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 7% or more?$27.93Nov 4, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 7% or more?$76.44Nov 4, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 7% or more?$2.31Nov 4, 00:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $19.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 21:31 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 18:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".