Flimsy-Molecule
0x18a5109bc8f7c27e733b10d73f8cffbe745a87a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-25.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $5,000 on October 14?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $130,000 on October 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 14?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on July 29?
14 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2025$0.00
$-12.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $230 on October 14?$8.04Oct 15, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or higher on October 14?$9.01Oct 15, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $3.00 on October 14?$10.01Oct 15, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 14?$12.25Oct 15, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$18.71Oct 15, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on October 14?$20.04Oct 15, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on October 14?$23.05Oct 15, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$18.67Oct 14, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$1.00Oct 14, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$2.00Oct 14, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or higher on October 14?$9.00Oct 14, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on October 14?$20.00Oct 14, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on October 14?$16.00Oct 14, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $3.00 on October 14?$10.00Oct 14, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $230 on October 14?$8.00Oct 14, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $5,000 on October 14?$3.00Oct 14, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 14?$5.00Oct 14, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 14?$1.00Oct 14, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on October 10?$6.01Oct 14, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$7.58Oct 14, 11:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $19.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 11:43 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 15, 08:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".