0x18ada2c5ad38e178701a5277ed05102f302a607a
0x18ada2c5ad38e178701a5277ed05102f302a607a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-129.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 17?
3500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
3172 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.56
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 17?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
909 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 8?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
573 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$1.15Apr 7, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$4.00Apr 7, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$2.87Apr 7, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$9.87Apr 7, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$2.70Apr 6, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$2.00Apr 6, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$3.00Apr 6, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$1.47Apr 6, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$10.00Apr 6, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$19.25Apr 6, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$12.00Apr 2, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 8?$5.00Mar 8, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 8?$15.00Mar 8, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?$13.59Mar 6, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 6?$5.00Mar 6, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?$4.90Mar 6, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 6, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 6?$5.00Mar 6, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 6, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 6, 09:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $9.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 23:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 12:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.